Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000119 0.000132 0.000146 0.000161 0.000179 0.000198 0.000220
2025-11-23 0.000100 0.000117 0.000137 0.000161 0.000189 0.000222 0.000263
2025-11-30 0.000086 0.000106 0.000131 0.000161 0.000200 0.000247 0.000308
2025-12-07 0.000075 0.000097 0.000124 0.000160 0.000207 0.000267 0.000349
2025-12-14 0.000068 0.000091 0.000121 0.000163 0.000220 0.000295 0.000403
2025-12-21 0.000061 0.000085 0.000117 0.000163 0.000229 0.000320 0.000455
2025-12-28 0.000056 0.000080 0.000113 0.000163 0.000236 0.000340 0.000502
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000076 0.000111 0.000165 0.000247 0.000368 0.000563
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000072 0.000108 0.000166 0.000255 0.000392 0.000619
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000068 0.000105 0.000165 0.000262 0.000414 0.000673
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000065 0.000102 0.000164 0.000267 0.000433 0.000725
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000062 0.000100 0.000164 0.000274 0.000456 0.000785
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000059 0.000096 0.000163 0.000279 0.000475 0.000842
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000056 0.000094 0.000162 0.000284 0.000498 0.000906
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000053 0.000092 0.000163 0.000292 0.000523 0.000978
2026-03-01 0.000029 0.000051 0.000089 0.000161 0.000295 0.000542 0.001039
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000050 0.000089 0.000164 0.000308 0.000577 0.001136
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000048 0.000087 0.000165 0.000316 0.000606 0.001223
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000046 0.000085 0.000164 0.000321 0.000629 0.001299
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000045 0.000085 0.000166 0.000333 0.000666 0.001408
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000043 0.000083 0.000167 0.000340 0.000695 0.001504
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000042 0.000082 0.000166 0.000346 0.000722 0.001596
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000040 0.000080 0.000165 0.000350 0.000744 0.001680